Duke
W-L: ( 9- 3) PR = 95.0034Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Elon 26- 3 907 A Northwestern B10 ( 4- 8, 91.8) 26-20 914 H UConn IND ( 8- 4, 91.2) 26-21 921 A Middle Tenn CUSA ( 3- 9, 84.2) 45-17 928 H UNC ACC ( 6- 6, 92.2) 21-20 1005 A Georgia Tech ACC ( 7- 5, 94.7) 14-24 1018 H Florida St ACC ( 2-10, 89.7) 23-16 1026 H SMU ACC (11- 2, 96.6) 27-28 1102 A Miami ACC (10- 2, 96.6) 31-53 1109 A NC St ACC ( 6- 6, 92.5) 29-19 1123 H Va Tech ACC ( 6- 6, 94.4) 31-28 1130 A Wake Forest ACC ( 4- 8, 91.2) 23-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
907 A Northwestern 26-20 6 2 + 2.67
914 H UConn 26-21 5 5 0.29
921 A Middle Tenn 45-17 28 10 0.00
928 H UNC 21-20 1 4 - -2.76
1005 A Georgia Tech 14-24 -10 -1 -- -4.36
1018 H Florida St 23-16 7 6 0.00
1026 H SMU 27-28 -1 -1 -0.28
1102 A Miami 31-53 -22 -3 - -2.49
1109 A NC St 29-19 10 2 + 3.36
1123 H Va Tech 31-28 3 2 1.50
1130 A Wake Forest 23-17 6 3 + 2.07
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1005 A Georgia Tech 14-24 -10 -1 -- -4.36 928 H UNC 21-20 1 4 - -2.76 1102 A Miami 31-53 -22 -3 - -2.49 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 907 A Northwestern 26-20 6 2 + 2.67 1109 A NC St 29-19 10 2 + 3.36 1130 A Wake Forest 23-17 6 3 + 2.07 |
Duke Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Duke | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Duke | |
| California | Duke | Duke 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 5- 0) | Clemson | |
| Florida St | Duke | Duke | ||
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Louisville | |
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| UNC | Duke | Duke | ||
| NC St | Duke | Duke | ||
| Pittsburgh | Duke | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Duke | |
| SMU | SMU | SMU | ||
| Stanford | Duke | Duke 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Virginia | Duke | Duke 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Va Tech | Duke | Duke | ||
| Wake Forest | Duke | Duke | ||
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Charlotte | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Ea Carolina | Duke | Duke | ||
| Fla Atlantic | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Memphis | Duke | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Duke | |
| Navy | Duke | Duke | ||
| No Texas | Duke | Duke | ||
| Rice | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| So Florida | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Temple | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Tulane | Duke | Duke | ||
| Tulsa | Duke | Duke | ||
| UAB | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| UTSA | Duke | Duke | ||
| Arizona | Duke | Duke | ||
| Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| BYU | BYU | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | BYU | |
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Cincinnati | Duke | Duke | ||
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Houston | Duke | Duke | ||
| Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St | ||
| Kansas | Duke | Duke | ||
| Kansas St | Duke | Duke | ||
| Oklahoma St | Duke | Duke | ||
| TCU | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Texas Tech | Duke | Duke | ||
| UCF | Duke | Duke | ||
| Utah | Duke | Duke | ||
| We Virginia | Duke | Duke | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Illinois | |
| Indiana | Indiana | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Indiana | |
| Iowa | Iowa | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Iowa | |
| Maryland | Duke | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Duke | |
| Michigan | Michigan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Michigan | |
| Michigan St | Duke | Duke | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Minnesota | |
| Nebraska | Duke | Duke | ||
| Northwestern | Duke | Duke | ||
| Ohio St | Ohio St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ohio St | |
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Purdue | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Rutgers | Duke | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Duke | |
| UCLA | Duke | Duke | ||
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | Duke | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Duke | |
| Wisconsin | Duke | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Duke | |
| Florida Intl | Duke | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Duke | |
| Jacksonv. St | Duke | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Duke | |
| Kennesaw St | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Liberty | Duke | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Duke | |
| La Tech | Duke | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Duke | |
| Middle Tenn | Duke | Duke | ||
| NM St | Duke | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Duke | |
| SHouston St | Duke | Duke | ||
| UTEP | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| We Kentucky | Duke | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Duke | |
| UMass | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Notre Dame | |
| UConn | Duke | Duke | ||
| Akron | Duke | Duke | ||
| Ball St | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Bowl. Green | Duke | Duke | ||
| Buffalo | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Cen Michigan | Duke | Duke | ||
| Ea Michigan | Duke | Duke | ||
| Kent State | Duke | Duke | ||
| MiamiOH | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| No Illinois | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Ohio | Duke | Duke | ||
| Toledo | Duke | Duke | ||
| We Michigan | Duke | Duke | ||
| Air Force | Duke | Duke | ||
| Boise State | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Colorado St | Duke | Duke | ||
| Fresno St | Duke | Duke | ||
| Hawaii | Duke | Duke | ||
| Nevada | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| New Mexico | Duke | Duke | ||
| San Diego St | Duke | Duke | ||
| San Jose St | Duke | Duke | ||
| UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | ||
| Utah St | Duke | Duke | ||
| Wyoming | Duke | Duke | ||
| Oregon St | Duke | Duke | ||
| Wash St | Duke | Duke | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Duke | Duke | ||
| Auburn | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida | Duke | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Duke | |
| Georgia | Georgia | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Georgia | |
| Kentucky | Duke | Duke | ||
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Duke | Duke | ||
| Miss St | Duke | Duke | ||
| Oklahoma | Duke | Duke | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Ole Miss | |
| So Carolina | So Carolina | So Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Tennessee | |
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Vanderbilt | Duke | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Duke | |
| App St | Duke | Duke | ||
| Arkansas State | Duke | Duke | ||
| Coastal Car | Duke | Duke | ||
| Georgia So | Duke | Duke | ||
| Georgia St | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Duke | |
| J Madison | Duke | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Duke | |
| Louisiana | Duke | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Duke | |
| Marshall | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Old Dominion | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| So Miss | Duke | Duke | ||
| So Alabama | Duke | Duke | ||
| Texas State | Duke | Duke | ||
| Troy | Duke | Duke | ||
| La-Monroe | Duke | Duke |
PowerWise = 101
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.10
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Northwestern ( 4- 8, 91.8) 26-20 -8.13 10.13 0.91 1.10 12.14
0 H UConn ( 8- 4, 91.2) 26-21 -8.70 9.55 -0.91 1.10 9.52
0 A Middle Tenn ( 3- 9, 84.2) 45-17 -15.74 2.52 0.91 1.10 3.77
0 H UNC ( 6- 6, 92.2) 21-20 -7.75 10.51 -0.91 1.10 10.57
0 A Georgia Tech ( 7- 5, 94.7) 14-24 -5.17 13.09 0.91 1.10 -4.69
0 H Florida St ( 2-10, 89.7) 23-16 -10.15 8.10 -0.91 1.10 7.92
0 H SMU (11- 2, 96.6) 27-28 -3.28 14.98 -0.91 1.10 -4.60
0 A Miami (10- 2, 96.6) 31-53 -3.29 14.97 0.91 1.10 -2.62
0 A NC St ( 6- 6, 92.5) 29-19 -7.44 10.82 0.91 1.10 12.90
0 H Va Tech ( 6- 6, 94.4) 31-28 -5.49 12.76 -0.91 1.10 13.05
0 A Wake Forest ( 4- 8, 91.2) 23-17 -8.73 9.52 0.91 1.10 11.47
------
69.42
|
winning pts = 81.3365 losing points = -11.9120
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------